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中国人暴走的财富真相:离开之时

来源: 南方日报网络版     时间: 2019年09月21日 13:36:28
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(  当)(中)(国)(投)(资)(者)(暴)(走)(进)(入)(股)(市)(、楼)(市)(、商)(品)(市)(场)(的)(时)(候)(,一)(片)(虚)(假)(的)(繁)(荣)(,而)(离)(开)(的)(时)(候)(,真)(相)(就)(是)(财)(富)(已)(是)(一)(地)(鸡)(毛)(。
  过)(去)(的)(三)(十)(多)(年)(里)(,中)(国)(创)(造)(了)(人)(类)(经)(济)(史)(上)(的)(奇)(迹)(。中)(国)(人)(的)(造)(富)(运)(动)(,无)(论)(从)(人)(数)(还)(是)(财)(富)(总)(量)(上)(均)(令)(西)(方)(瞠)(目)(,完)(成)(了)(资)(本)(主)(义)(国)(家)(一)(两)(百)(年)(的)(历)(程)(。
  中)(国)(人)(越)(来)(越)(鼓)(的)(腰)(包)(,似)(乎)(意)(味)(着)(不)(可)(限)(量)(的)(资)(本)(暴)(走)(和)(投)(资)(冲)(动)(。
  中)(国)(人)(暴)(走)(的)(财)(富)(真)(相)(表)(现)(在)(国)(际)(消)(费)(舞)(台)(上)(,就)(是)(一)(些)(中)(国)(人)(以)(自)(己)(的)(方)(式)(撩)(拨)(世)(人)(的)(神)(经)(,他)(们)(在)(海)(外)(市)(场)(上)(甩)(出)(的)(大)(把)(钞)(票)(,让)(外)(国)(人)(一)(次)(次)(瞪)(大)(双)(眼)(。
  根)(据)(美)(国)(贝)(恩)(公)(司)(一)(项)(调)(查)(结)(果)(显)(示)(,中)(国)(消)(费)(者)(依)(然)(是)(全)(球)(最)(大)(的)(奢)(侈)(品)(购)(买)(群)(体)(,占)(比)(全)(球)(消)(费)(的)(31%。
  中)(国)(的)(经)(济)(扩)(张)(和)(中)(国)(人)(在)(海)(外)(显)(示)(的)(超)(强)(购)(买)(力)(,展)(现)(出)("中)(国)(龙)("将)(要)(吞)(咽)(世)(界)(的)(景)(象)(。
  然)(而)(,自)(2014年)(以)(来)(,中)(国)(经)(济)(的)(增)(速)(开)(始)(放)(缓)(,GDP的)(年)(增)(幅)(从)(过)(去)(的)(8%-10%,滑)(落)(至)(2015年)(的)(6.9%。大)(量)(货)(币)(财)(富)(开)(始)(失)(去)(投)(资)(方)(向)(,四)(处)(乱)(窜)(,寻)(找)("价)(值)(洼)(地)("。
  以)(2014年)(7月)(份)(启)(动)(的)(牛)(市)(行)(情)(为)(例)(,中)(国)(人)(暴)(走)(的)(财)(富)(开)(始)(进)(入)("国)(家)(牛)(市)(",虽)(然)(此)(轮)(牛)(市)(行)(情)(延)(续)(时)(间)(不)(足)(1年)(,但)(是)(市)(场)(的)(爆)(发)(力)(却)(是)(让)(人)(震)(惊)(,期)(间)(指)(数)(从)(2000低)(点)(攀)(升)(至)(5178高)(点)(,仅)(仅)(用)(了)(10个)(多)(月)(的)(时)(间)(。
  股)(市)(大)(幅)(上)(涨)(,中)(国)(一)(度)(成)(为)(名)(副)(其)(实)(的)("亿)(万)(富)(翁)(工)(厂)(",涌)(现)(出)(50位)(新)(晋)(亿)(万)(富)(翁)(。
  去)(年)(6月)(中)(下)(旬)(,随)(着)(股)(市)("去)(杠)(杆)(化)("举)(措)(的)(持)(续)(发)(力)(,市)(场)(的)(投)(资)(热)(情)(却)(从)(狂)(热)(瞬)(间)(演)(变)(为)(低)(迷)(,期)(间)(市)(场)(仅)(仅)(耗)(用)(了)(一)(个)(月)(的)(时)(间)(,就)(出)(现)(了)(近)(2000点)(的)(下)(跌)(空)(间)(,其)(下)(跌)(速)(度)(之)(快)(,下)(跌)(力)(度)(之)(猛)(,也)(几)(乎)(是)(前)(所)(未)(有)(的)(。
  经)(历)(了)(一)(轮)(动)(荡)(后)(,这)(50人)(中)(仅)(五)(分)(之)(一)(保)(持)(住)(了)(亿)(万)(富)(翁)(的)(地)(位)(。
  由)(此)(可)(见)(,通)(过)(最)(近)(两)(年)(多)(的)(A股)(表)(现)(,实)(际)(上)(也)(让)(国)(际)(投)(资)(者)(看)(清)(楚)(A股)(市)(场)(的)(高)(度)(投)(机)(性)(。
  当)(牛)(市)(转)(熊)(后)(,资)(本)(开)(始)(从)(股)(市)(暴)(走)(冲)(进)(楼)(市)(。当)(前)(实)(体)(经)(济)(下)(行)(压)(力)(较)(大)(、银)(行)(存)(款)(利)(率)(较)(低)(,一)(线)(楼)(市)(极)(强)(的)(赚)(钱)(效)(应)(,于)(是)(,便)(出)(现)(了)(北)(京)(天)(价)(学)(区)(房)(60万)(元)(一)(平)(方)(米)(、上)(海)(楼)(市)(出)(现)("一)(天)(多)(个)(价)(格)("的)(行)(情)(。
  除)(此)(之)(外)(,一)(线)(城)(市)(还)(出)(现)(裹)(被)(子)(通)(宵)(排)(队)(、惜)(售)(捂)(盘)(、炒)(房)(号)(等)(等)(现)(象)(,整)(个)(市)(场)(已)(经)(陷)(入)(狂)(热)(状)(态)(。
  据)(上)(海)(市)(住)(建)(委)(主)(任)(顾)(金)(山)(介)(绍)(,投)(资)(投)(机)(需)(求)(回)(潮)(、跟)(风)("买)(涨)("、供)(应)(不)(足)(等)(都)(是)(导)(致)(当)(地)(楼)(市)(近)(期)(过)(热)(的)(重)(要)(原)(因)(。
  很)(多)(经)(济)(学)(家)(认)(为)(,2011年)(之)(后)(房)(价)(更)(多)(体)(现)(为)(货)(币)(现)(象)(。有)(资)(产)(荒)(的)(原)(因)(,也)(有)(政)(策)(红)(利)(的)(原)(因)(。
  但)(是)(大)(部)(分)(经)(济)(学)(家)(也)(认)(同)(一)(个)(观)(点)(:从)(来)(没)(有)(只)(涨)(不)(跌)(的)(事)(情)(,中)(国)(的)(房)(地)(产)(市)(场)(已)(持)(续)(繁)(荣)(了)(16年)(,但)(也)(是)(从)(全)(面)(繁)(荣)(过)(渡)(到)(局)(部)(繁)(荣)(,从)(人)(口)(推)(动)(到)(资)(金)(推)(动)(,从)(大)(涨)(到)(小)(涨)(再)(到)(有)(涨)(有)(跌)(,今)(后)(必)(然)(会)(有)(滞)(涨)(和)(普)(跌)(的)(过)(程)(。
  虽)(然)(没)(有)(人)(能)(说)(清)(泡)(沫)(何)(时)(回)(破)(灭)(,但)(总)(有)(人)(要)(接)(上)(最)(后)(一)(棒)(。
  对)(于)(一)(线)(城)(市)(房)(价)(的)(疯)(狂)(,投)(机)(炒)(作)(者)(早)(就)(意)(识)(到)(这)(种)(房)(价)(上)(涨)(疯)(狂)(只)(要)(出)(台)(新)(政)(策)(马)(上)(就)(会)(停)(止)(,特)(别)(是)(两)(会)(期)(间)(,在)(一)(片)(控)(制)(一)(线)(房)(价)(上)(涨)(的)(呼)(声)(下)(,住)(房)(投)(机)(炒)(作)(者)(更)(是)(意)(识)(到)(,这)(些)(地)(方)(政)(府)(会)(出)(台)(房)(地)(产)(调)(控)(政)(策)(。
  于)(是)(,大)(量)(的)(资)(本)(开)(始)(暴)(走)(向)(二)(线)(城)(市)(的)(房)(地)(产)(,增)(加)(二)(线)(城)(市)(的)(住)(房)(销)(售)(,推)(高)(二)(线)(城)(市)(的)(房)(价)(。
  青)(岛)(大)(学)(经)(济)(学)(院)(教)(授)(易)(宪)(容)(指)(出)(,当)(大)(量)(的)(信)(贷)(资)(金)(流)(出)(来)(并)(掌)(握)(在)(少)(数)(人)(手)(上)(之)(后)(,这)(些)(资)(金)(流)(到)(哪)(个)(城)(市)(,哪)(个)(城)(市)(的)(房)(地)(产)(的)(价)(格)(立)(即)(能)(够)(炒)(高)(,能)(够)(把)(这)(些)(城)(市)(的)(住)(房)(销)(售)(增)(加)(。
  这)(不)(仅)(让)(中)(国)(经)(济)(及)(金)(融)(市)(场)(的)(风)(险)(增)(加)(,也)(与)(一)(般)(民)(众)(的)(生)(活)(需)(求)(越)(来)(越)(远)(。
  不)(过)(,据)(诺)(亚)(财)(富)(发)(布)(调)(查)(显)(示)(,中)(国)(高)(端)(财)(富)(市)(场)(正)(在)(发)(生)(一)(些)(重)(要)(的)(变)(化)(,其)(中)(之)(一)(就)(是)(,中)(国)(的)(富)(人)(对)(投)(资)(性)(房)(地)(产)(的)(兴)(趣)(大)(幅)(下)(降)(,正)(在)(将)(财)(富)(转)(移)(到)(其)(他)(领)(域)(。
  当)(前)(,中)(国)(人)(可)(以)(明)(显)(的)(感)(受)(到)(许)(多)(产)(品)(的)(物)(价)(较)(2015年)(又)(上)(涨)(了)(许)(多)(。可)(见)(,资)(本)(又)(开)(始)(流)(窜)(到)(了)(生)(活)(必)(需)(品)(市)(场)(。
  据)(中)(国)(农)(业)(部)(的)(数)(据)(,3月)(猪)(肉)(批)(发)(均)(价)(为)(23.7元)(/公)(斤)(,同)(比)(上)(涨)(超)(过)(50%。3月)(仔)(猪)(批)(发)(均)(价)(为)(24.9元)(/公)(斤)(,较)(15年)(同)(期)(上)(涨)(近)(50%。
  从)(货)(币)(的)(角)(度)(看)(,物)(价)(上)(涨)(现)(象)(的)(本)(质)(是)(货)(币)(现)(象)(,过)(多)(的)(货)(币)(追)(逐)(相)(对)(少)(的)(商)(品)(,必)(然)(导)(致)(物)(价)(上)(涨)(。
  比)(如)(,1988年)(,中)(国)(上)(下)(出)(现)("人)(们)(都)(疯)(了)(,见)(东)(西)(就)(买)("的)(状)(况)(,全)(国)(性)(抢)(购)(商)(品)(和)(大)(量)(提)(取)(储)(蓄)(存)(款)(的)(风)(潮)(爆)(发)(,物)(价)(总)(指)(数)(在)(7月)(飙)(至)(19.3%。
  当)(前)(,这)(些)(货)(币)(在)(投)(机)(过)(程)(中)(不)(断)(汇)(聚)(集)(中)(,就)(是)(不)(进)(入)(实)(体)(经)(济)(。但)(投)(机)(从)(来)(都)(是)(不)(稳)(定)(的)(,一)(方)(面)(,随)(着)(价)(格)(上)(涨)(,供)(给)(会)(大)(幅)(增)(加)(。任)(何)(商)(品)(的)(供)(给)(一)(旦)(大)(幅)(增)(加)(,就)(不)(再)(适)(合)(投)(机)(。
  所)(以)(,当)(现)(金)(暴)(走)(进)(入)(股)(市)(、楼)(市)(、商)(品)(市)(场)(的)(时)(候)(,一)(片)(虚)(假)(的)(繁)(荣)(,而)(离)(开)(的)(时)(候)(,一)(地)(鸡)(毛)(。(图)(片)(来)(自)(于)(网)(络)(公)(开)(数)(据)(库)()
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