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对牛市行情的三个建言

来源: 南方日报网络版     时间: 2019年09月21日 13:37:18
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(  昨)(日)(沪)(指)(的)(一)(根)(中)(阳)(将)(前)(天)(的)(跌)(幅)(基)(本)(收)(复)(,领)(涨)(的)(正)(是)(前)(日)(下)(跌)(的)(金)(融)(股)(,创)(业)(板)(指)(数)(还)(再)(次)(创)(下)(历)(史)(新)(高)(,指)(数)(再)(次)(来)(了)(一)(次)(“过)(山)(车)(”。实)(际)(上)(,从)(去)(年)(11月)(底)(大)(盘)(开)(始)(向)(上)(突)(破)(以)(来)(,类)(似)(这)(种)(“过)(山)(车)(”的)(走)(势)(出)(现)(过)(多)(次)(,如)(去)(年)(12月)(9日)(盘)(中)(大)(跌)(后)(很)(快)(连)(创)(新)(高)(,今)(年)(1月)(19日)(沪)(指)(大)(跌)(逾)(7%后)(几)(天)(内)(就)(收)(复)(失)(地)(。市)(场)(如)(此)(的)(走)(势)(给)(投)(资)(者)(特)(别)(是)(新)(入)(市)(投)(资)(者)(上)(了)(一)(课)(,值)(得)(认)(真)(思)(考)(。
  首)(先)(,对)(市)(场)(的)(敬)(畏)(决)(不)(可)(无)(。敬)(畏)(市)(场)(,就)(是)(要)(理)(智)(地)(对)(待)(市)(场)(,特)(别)(是)(要)(了)(解)(市)(场)(,“熊)(市)(”时)(不)(必)(盲)(目)(悲)(观)(,市)(场)(好)(转)(更)(不)(能)(头)(脑)(发)(热)(。特)(别)(是)(一)(些)(新)(入)(市)(的)(投)(资)(者)(,没)(有)(经)(历)(过)(多)(年)(“熊)(市)(”的)(深)(套)(之)(苦)(,在)(去)(年)(年)(底)(大)(盘)(突)(破)(时)(入)(场)(,当)(时)(指)(数)(连)(创)(新)(高)(,如)(果)(再)(敢)(于)(追)(进)(热)(点)(股)(,往)(往)(初)(战)(收)(益)(不)(菲)(,于)(是)(放)(松)(了)(对)(市)(场)(风)(险)(的)(警)(惕)(,常)(常)(倾)(巢)(而)(出)(,有)(的)(借)(钱)(炒)(股)(、甚)(至)(卖)(房)(炒)(股)(,而)(忽)(视)(了)(风)(险)(。但)(是)(,任)(何)(股)(市)(都)(不)(会)(只)(涨)(不)(跌)(,即)(使)(是)(牛)(市)(也)(会)(有)(个)(股)(风)(险)(,市)(场)(的)(波)(动)(随)(时)(可)(能)(发)(生)(,决)(不)(能)(掉)(以)(轻)(心)(,“股)(市)(有)(风)(险)(,投)(资)(需)(谨)(慎)(”,这)(句)(话)(永)(远)(不)(会)(过)(时)(。
  其)(次)(,市)(场)(好)(转)(时)(更)(应)(继)(续)(大)(力)(发)(展)(机)(构)(投)(资)(者)(。市)(场)(有)(风)(险)(,而)(机)(构)(抗)(击)(风)(险)(的)(能)(力)(远)(远)(超)(过)(个)(人)(投)(资)(者)(。无)(论)(对)(市)(场)(的)(研)(究)(、信)(息)(来)(源)(还)(是)(分)(析)(判)(断)(能)(力)(,机)(构)(的)(专)(业)(投)(资)(能)(力)(大)(大)(强)(过)(个)(人)(投)(资)(者)(。特)(别)(是)(融)(资)(融)(券)(和)(股)(指)(期)(货)(业)(务)(推)(出)(后)(,做)(空)(也)(能)(挣)(钱)(,机)(构)(投)(资)(者)(的)(专)(业)(化)(优)(势)(更)(加)(明)(显)(。A股)(市)(场)(统)(计)(数)(据)(显)(示)(,去)(年)(11月)(份)(以)(来)(,沪)(深)(A股)(每)(周)(新)(开)(户)(数)(大)(幅)(增)(长)(,现)(在)(每)(周)(新)(开)(户)(数)(基)(本)(都)(保)(持)(在)(40万)(户)(以)(上)(,开)(户)(数)(大)(增)(固)(然)(给)(市)(场)(带)(来)(大)(量)(新)(增)(资)(金)(,但)(多)(数)(个)(人)(投)(资)(者)(容)(易)(追)(涨)(杀)(跌)(,而)(追)(涨)(杀)(跌)(对)(个)(人)(投)(资)(者)(造)(成)(的)(损)(失)(往)(往)(也)(更)(大)(。因)(此)(,壮)(大)(机)(构)(投)(资)(者)(队)(伍)(在)(任)(何)(时)(候)(都)(不)(能)(放)(松)(,只)(有)(不)(断)(壮)(大)(机)(构)(投)(资)(者)(才)(能)(使)(得)(市)(场)(走)(势)(更)(加)(平)(稳)(,减)(少)(大)(起)(大)(落)(。
  第)(三)(,不)(要)(受)(市)(场)(传)(言)(影)(响)(,不)(宜)(过)(于)(频)(繁)(的)(追)(涨)(杀)(跌)(。回)(顾)(去)(年)(11月)(份)(以)(后)(的)(市)(场)(表)(现)(,板)(块)(轮)(动)(的)(特)(征)(还)(是)(比)(较)(明)(显)(的)(,无)(论)(是)(大)(盘)(蓝)(筹)(股)(、中)(盘)(绩)(优)(股)(还)(是)(小)(盘)(成)(长)(股)(,都)(有)(过)(比)(较)(好)(的)(市)(场)(机)(会)(。因)(此)(,只)(有)(发)(现)(了)(某)(个)(板)(块)(的)(价)(值)(,耐)(心)(持)(股)(必)(有)(收)(获)(,而)(过)(于)(频)(繁)(的)(转)(换)(操)(作)(,很)(可)(能)(得)(不)(偿)(失)(,甚)(至)(是)(白)(白)(给)(券)(商)(打)(工)(,如)(果)(再)(坐)(上)(几)(次)(“过)(山)(车)(”,则)(本)(金)(还)(可)(能)(遭)(受)(损)(失)(。
  去)(年)(年)(底)(的)(行)(情)(是)(基)(于)(改)(革)(预)(期)(、低)(估)(值)(、流)(动)(性)(改)(善)(等)(多)(层)(因)(素)(而)(形)(成)(的)(,不)(会)(在)(短)(期)(内)(结)(束)(,无)(论)(是)(“疯)(牛)(”还)(是)(“猴)(市)(”,都)(不)(利)(于)(市)(场)(的)(发)(展)(,只)(有)(“慢)(牛)(”行)(情)(才)(是)(最)(健)(康)(的)(。
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